Wednesday 20 March 2013

Obama in Jerusalem and West Bank today

Barack Obama is visiting Israel, the West Bank and Jordan in the next few days: this is good news: there are good reasons to go - general instability in the region, Syria's civil war, and profound uncertainties about Iran's nuclear programme.
Syrian solution?
Most immediately, there is as yet almost no clarity about the potential outcome of the Syrian civil war. Already, the civil war has claimed tens of thousands of lives. There is a Sunni and Islamist fundamentalists conflict and so much more.
It is unlikely that what Obama says or does on his Near East trip is likely to move the Syrian situation in one direction or another, unless he is prepared to put US military power - even limited to significant arms supply - heavily into the balance, which does not seem likely nor is it necessarily advisable. Certainly without air support / cover there will be no resoultion of the conflict in Syria and many thousands more will die.